Search EN Get started All ideas All ideas Videos only Most recent Most popular GOLD - A Hunt for Liquidity Ahead of Further Declines ICMARKETS:XAUUSD has been forming a countertrend correction since the session opened. The fundamental backdrop remains unstable, and this correction could end with another move lower Gold remains exposed to two-sided risks ahead of the release of U.S. CPI data. The sell-the-bounce strategy remains in place, especially against the backdrop of higher-than-expected inflation in China. TD Securities expects core inflation to remain under control in August but warns of upside risks Drivers: Upside: weak U.S. CPI data, dollar weakness, de-escalation of the conflict. Downside: hot CPI data, dollar strength, escalation of the conflict, hawkish Fed rhetoric Resistance levels: 4,410, 4,435, 4,461 Support levels: 4,365, 4,287 A weaker dollar, driven by yen strength, is supporting gold. At the same time, however, gold remains under pressure from the Fed’s hawkish stance and geopolitical risks. Technically, I expect a short squeeze around the 4,430–4,435 liquidity zone, followed by a decline toward range support at 4,365–4,287 Best regards, R. Linda! Short by RLinda Updated 30 30 1 5 2 Bitcoin - Bart pattern will send BTC back to 65k (must see!) The price of Bitcoin has been forming a bart pattern, as you can see on the chart. What does it mean? The Bart pattern sometimes occurs on Bitcoin for specific reasons. - Bitcoin is very volatile, and these drops are very common. For those who are new in the crypto space or are unfamiliar with this pattern - bitcoin pumps, then makes a sideways price action, and then dumps back to the start of the pump at least. In this case, it's 65k or so. Will we see Bitcoin at 65k? There is a pretty big chance that yes. Will this be a great buying opportunity? Probably yes, the bear market probably ended, so buying at 65k is a lifetime opportunity! September is statistically the worst-performing month for Bitcoin with an average negative return. These stats can scare institutions and big players, so a drop is pretty much expected. From the Elliott Wave perspective, I see a completed impulse wave 12345, so a correction is welcome. Will Bitcoin drop to 65? Maybe not that much, strong levels are also 70k. And then we have a strong buying zone between 70k and 65k. Let me know in the comment section what support you are buying BTC. What about ETH and altcoins? Of course the drop will affect all coins, but some of them will do better. It's always risky holding altcoins when we expect a bigger drop on BTC. Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! I am very transparent with my trades. Short by Xanrox Updated 106 106 4 6 6 #XAUUSD 8H: Gold’s Rebound Stalls — 4,283 Back in Focus 🔺Gold’s latest bounce has run into resistance, and the recovery is starting to lose momentum. On the shared 8-hour chart, price is near 4,396.82, sitting beneath the marked selling zone after failing to hold its recent advance. My reading remains bearish: buyers produced a rebound, but they have not repaired the structure damaged during the previous decline. Why the rebound matters 🔺After falling from the August highs, gold recovered towards 4,480–4,515, where the chart highlights the first probable selling zone. That recovery was rejected, leaving a lower high. 🔺This follows the earlier bearish change of character (CHoCH) and breaks of structure (BOS). Put simply, the market has moved from breaking highs to losing support, with rallies now struggling below previous peaks. 🔺The closer area to watch is approximately 4,420–4,455, marked “strong sellers presence.” Recent candles have struggled around this zone, making it the immediate test for any fresh bounce. How the downside could develop 🔺A rejection from nearby supply, followed by a break below the recent consolidation lows, would strengthen the continuation setup. For traders considering shorts, that sequence offers clearer evidence than assuming every small bounce will fail. The downside objectives marked on the chart are: ● 4,283.36 — first target: The recent swing low. Buyers previously responded here, so another reaction is possible. ● 4,106.85 — second target: An extended objective if price breaks the first target and then struggles to reclaim it. The second level depends on the first giving way; it should not be treated as an uninterrupted path lower. What would change the view? 🔺A sustained recovery above nearby supply would weaken the immediate bearish case. For this interpretation, an 8-hour close above the recent rebound high around 4,515 would invalidate the lower-high setup being followed. 🔺The practical focus is on how price behaves at resistance. A failed retest could support another decline, while a convincing reclaim would be a reason to reassess. Keep the stop-loss and position size defined before entering. LIKE AND COMMENT ❤️🇬🇧 THE SETUPSFX_ TEAM❤️🇬🇧 Short by Setupsfx_ Updated 34 34 1 2 0 BTCUSD Bullish Structure Holds Resistance & Liquidity in Focus 🔹 BTCUSD is consolidating after a strong upward expansion from the 64,000 area, with price currently holding above the 75,500–76,000 support zone. The structure remains constructive, while price is consolidating below the 82,000–82,500 resistance area. Overhead liquidity around 84,500–85,000 remains an important area to watch. A confirmed breakout above resistance could support further upside, while rejection may keep BTCUSD within the current range. 🔸 From a price action and market structure perspective, traders may wait for confirmation before considering any trade. If buyers reclaim the resistance area with a confirmed breakout, BTCUSD could potentially move toward the higher liquidity zone. On the other hand, a sustained break below the 75,500–76,000 support could weaken the current structure and open the possibility of a deeper retracement. This scenario remains dependent on future price action and confirmation. Educational analysis only. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions. Long by XAUApex Updated 41 41 4 4 GOLD Creating Inverted H&S Pattern, 2 Buy Areas Spotted ! Here Is My 30 Mins GOLD Chart , Finally the price trying to create a reversal pattern around good support , if we check we will see that the price creating an inverted head & shoulders pattern the price successes to builds the head and left shoulder and now creating the right should at very good support area around 4385.00/ 4390.00 and this will my first area for buy to can buy from the lowest place after this breakout again above my support and i will be targeting the second area for buy , and the second area for buy will be above the neckline after the price confirm the pattern by closing above the neckline then we can add another buy trade and we can targeting from 150 to 300 pips and using a decent sl .if the price closed below my support with 4H Candle , then this idea will not be valid anymore . Entry Reasons : - Reversal Pattern Creating - Bullish 4H Closure - Breakout Done - Over Sold . Long by FX_Elite_Club Updated 31 31 1 9 8 XAUUSD 4H | SMC Structure & Key Liquidity Levels Education Chart XAUUSD 4H | Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Market Structure & Liquidity Analysis Educational Candle-by-Candle Description With Reasons 1. Initial Bearish Candles (Left Side) Price started with weak bearish movement, forming lower highs and lower lows. Candles showed selling pressure but momentum was not strong enough to create a major breakdown. Reason: Sellers were controlling short-term movement, but the market was also collecting liquidity near lower levels. --- 2. Accumulation Candles Near Support Small body candles formed around the lower zone with repeated rejections from the downside. Reason: Buyers started absorbing selling pressure, creating a demand area where smart money could build positions. --- 3. Bullish Reversal Candles (Buy Zone Reaction) Strong bullish candles appeared after the demand reaction and pushed price upward. Reason: Buyers gained control after defending support, creating the first sign of a possible structure shift. --- 4. CHoCH (Change of Character) Candles Price broke previous minor highs and changed the market direction from bearish to bullish. Reason: The order flow shifted as buyers started taking control from sellers. --- 5. BOS (Break of Structure) Expansion Candles Large bullish candles broke important resistance levels and created higher highs. Reason: Strong buying momentum confirmed bullish continuation and removed previous selling pressure. --- 6. FVG Formation Candles During the impulsive upward move, candles left imbalance areas (Fair Value Gaps). Reason: Fast institutional buying created inefficient price movement. These FVG zones can act as future reaction areas. --- 7. Trend Continuation Candles Price continued forming higher highs while respecting the blue dynamic support line. Reason: The trend remained bullish because buyers defended pullbacks and maintained the higher-low structure. --- 8. Sell Zone Rejection Candles (Top Area) Price reached the premium area near the swing high and started showing rejection candles. Reason: Liquidity was present near previous highs, and sellers entered from the premium zone causing a pullback. --- 9. Bearish Pullback Candles Strong bearish candles moved price down from the high area toward support. Reason: Profit-taking and selling pressure created a retracement, but the main structure remained dependent on key support levels. --- 10. Demand Reaction Candles (Buy Area) Price reacted from the demand zone and created recovery candles. Reason: Buyers defended the support area, showing interest and preventing further downside movement. --- 11. Current Consolidation Candles Recent candles are moving sideways around the decision zone. Reason: Market is balancing between buyers and sellers while waiting for liquidity to be taken and direction confirmation. --- 12. Educational Market View The chart shows a complete SMC cycle: Accumulation → CHoCH → BOS → Expansion → Liquidity Test → Retracement → Demand Reaction. Reason: Professional traders study candle position, market structure, liquidity, and reaction zones instead of focusing on a single candle only. Long by XauusdMarketNavigator Updated 30 30 8 2 US OIL - Weekly CLS - Model 1 Hi Friends, New CLS Range has been created and Im looking for short Model 1 trade setup. As always after the manipulation in to the Key Level, below the CLS range and reaction, we need to see a confirmation switch from the manipulation phase - CIOD (change in order flow) in the the expansion. ⏳ Stay patient and enter only after candle close. 🎯 Target: 50% of the CLS range. 🎥 CLS Model 1 Video Explanation 📚 Bearish CLS Strategy Structure ⚠️ Risk Control is Key to Long Term Success 📍 Always place a proper stop loss 📍 Manage your risk per trade 📍 Stay disciplined & avoid emotional trading 📍Take the Trade only if you understand logic behind it 📍 Protect Capital First 🚀Boost | 🔁 Share | 💬 Comment | ✅Follow for more setups Adapt useful, Reject useless and add what is specifically yours. David Perk Short by David_Perk Updated 19 19 4 0 GOLD: We Are Still Following This Big Bullish Scenario GOLD: We Are Still Following This Big Bullish Scenario From our analysis nothing changes. We expect a bigger bullish wave to start soon. So far Gold has only been in correction due to lack of data, uncertainty related to the geopolitical situation, unclear monetary policy of FOMC and also Trump, who as usual continues to make comments when he wants to push Gold and major assets up or down for no reason, by invalidating many patterns. However, in my opinion, the strength of gold was and remains more controlled by INSIDE TRADING than by normal market conditions. The current environment that Trump created only supports a stronger GOLD price. As long as gold remains above the red zone, the chances are higher that gold will rise further. Bullish Targets: 4495 4550 4650 4800 You can find more details on the chart. Thank you! 🍀 ⚠️PS: Do your own analysis and use your own strategy to join the trade. ❤️ If this analysis helps your trading day, please support it with a like or comment ❤️ Long by KlejdiCuni 25 25 4 8 BTCUSDT – Bullish Breakout & Upside Expansion Setup 📊 BTCUSDT – Bullish Breakout & Upside Expansion Setup 🔍 Market Overview Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a tightening symmetrical triangle structure on the 1H timeframe, following a strong impulsive recovery. Price is approaching the apex of the pattern, suggesting that a significant directional move may develop soon. The broader structure remains constructive as long as BTC continues to hold above the key support zone. A confirmed breakout above the descending trendline could trigger renewed bullish momentum toward higher resistance levels. 📈 Market Structure Insight * Market Bias: Bullish * Momentum: Consolidating / Building * Current Phase: Compression Before Potential Breakout The convergence of the ascending support trendline and descending resistance trendline indicates decreasing volatility and price compression. This type of structure often precedes a stronger expansion once price confirms a breakout. 🚀 Trading Scenarios ✅ Bullish Scenario — Primary Bias Conditions: * Price breaks and closes above the descending trendline. * Buyers successfully defend the rising trendline. * Bullish momentum increases above the consolidation structure. * Price confirms acceptance above the breakout zone. Trade Plan: Look for buying opportunities after a confirmed breakout or on a controlled retest of the broken resistance structure. 🎯 Target 1: 81,300 🎯 Target 2: 82,700 ❌ Bearish Invalidation Scenario Conditions: * Price fails to break above triangle resistance. * BTC breaks below the ascending support trendline. * Selling pressure increases with bearish continuation. * The major support zone is decisively lost. A confirmed breakdown below the support structure would weaken the bullish outlook and could shift momentum toward a deeper corrective move. 🎯 Key Support Zone: 76,500 – 76,900 📍 Key Levels to Monitor 🟢 Immediate Resistance: Triangle Breakout Area 🟢 Target 1: 81,300 🟢 Major Target: 82,700 🔴 Immediate Support: 76,900 🔴 Major Support: 76,500 ⚠️ Trading Perspective BTC is currently trading inside a compressed consolidation pattern, making the breakout direction particularly important. The primary bias remains bullish due to the recovery structure and the potential for an upside breakout. A decisive move above the descending trendline would provide stronger confirmation for continuation toward 81,300, followed by 82,700. However, traders should remain cautious until price confirms the breakout, as false moves can occur near the apex of a triangle structure. 🧠 Professional Insight This setup is supported by: * Symmetrical triangle consolidation structure. * Rising trendline acting as dynamic support. * Descending trendline defining breakout resistance. * Price compression indicating a potential expansion move. * Well-defined support zone below the current structure. * Clear upside objectives at 81,300 and 82,700. Preferred approach: Avoid entering aggressively inside the middle of the consolidation. A confirmed breakout with momentum or a successful retest can offer a more structured entry opportunity. 🛡️ Risk Management * Risk only 1–2% of trading capital per position. * Wait for breakout confirmation before entering. * Define invalidation clearly below the support structure. * Avoid excessive leverage during volatile market conditions. * Maintain disciplined position sizing. * Do not chase impulsive candles without confirmation. Disclaimer: This market analysis is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Long by SHAY_ANALYTICS Updated 29 29 4 6 GOLD HOLDS THE CHANNEL — 4420 THEN 4520 IN FOCUS Gold is still trading inside a rising structure, with price currently testing the lower part of the channel after another short-term pullback. The key area is around 4340–4355, where the rising trendline and horizontal support are converging. The broader structure remains constructive as long as this support holds. The main scenario is to wait for price to react around 4340–4355. If support holds and bullish confirmation appears, Gold could recover toward 4400–4420, followed by the major 4500–4520 resistance zone. A clean breakout above the descending trendline and 4420 would strengthen the recovery and open the way toward 4500–4520. On the downside, a sustained break below the rising trendline and 4340 would weaken the current bullish structure and require reassessment. 📍 KEY LEVELS: 🔹 4340–4355 Immediate support and rising trendline. Preferred area to monitor for a BUY reaction. 🔹 4300–4320 Major support if the pullback extends deeper. 🔹 4400–4420 Immediate resistance and first upside target. 🔹 4500–4520 Major resistance and key breakout area. ✅ PREFERRED SCENARIO: Gold holds the rising structure. Pullback toward 4340–4355. Support holds + bullish confirmation → BUY. Recovery above 4400–4420 → bullish momentum strengthens. Breakout above the descending trendline → target 4500–4520. Sustained break below 4340 → reassess the bullish bias. BIAS: 🟢 BULLISH — Gold remains supported by the rising structure, and the current decline is still viewed as a corrective pullback. Prefer buying confirmed reactions from the 4340–4355 support zone rather than chasing price into resistance. Long by Chum_trades 28 28 5 9 Gold Outlook: Rounding Top Reaction Could Drive Price Lower Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current XAUUSD (1H) chart structure. XAUUSD previously broke higher from a range and formed a Rounding Top near the highs, where sellers rejected the upside and price started to decline. Price then broke lower, tested the Buyer Zone, and is now trading below the 4,440 Seller Zone while holding above the 4,310 Support Level. Currently, the Rounding Top and descending Resistance Line suggest that a short-term bearish continuation may develop toward the 4,310 Buyer Zone. As long as XAUUSD remains below the 4,440 Seller Zone and fails to break above recent highs, the bearish scenario remains valid. A continuation lower could push price toward the 4,310 Support Level (TP1). However, a strong breakout and close above the Seller Zone would weaken the bearish outlook and increase the possibility of further upside. Please share this idea with your friends and click "Boost" 🚀 Short by LegionQ8 Updated 16 16 3 2 XAUUSD | Gold Price Action & Liquidity Mapping XAUUSD | Gold Price Action & Liquidity Mapping — 1D Educational Analysis This 1D Gold chart presents a detailed educational study of price action, market structure, liquidity, Fair Value Gaps (FVG), Market Structure Shift (MSS), Break of Structure (BOS), CHoCH, supply and demand, and key support/resistance levels. The purpose of this chart is to understand how Gold reacts from one candle sequence to the next and how liquidity, momentum, imbalance and previous swing levels influence the development of market structure. Initial Bearish Structure The chart begins with Gold trading near the upper resistance region. The early candles show strong selling pressure, with several bearish bodies forming consecutive lower closes. The large bearish candles indicate bearish displacement. When a candle closes strongly below the previous candle's range, it demonstrates that sellers are controlling the short-term order flow. The smaller bullish candles appearing during this decline represent temporary retracements. Buyers attempt to recover, but the following bearish candles continue to push price lower. This creates a sequence of Lower Highs and Lower Lows, confirming the developing bearish structure. Liquidity Formation As price continues lower, previous swing lows become important liquidity areas. Several candles repeatedly approach the same low region before producing reactions. This behavior can indicate that sell-side liquidity is accumulating below previous lows. When price eventually sweeps the lower area and quickly reacts upward, the candle's lower wick becomes important educational evidence of rejection. The key lesson is that a liquidity sweep by itself is not a guaranteed reversal signal. Confirmation from subsequent candles and structure is required. Market Structure Shift After the liquidity reaction, Gold begins producing stronger bullish candles. The first important bullish candles recover previous short-term highs. This creates an MSS/CHoCH-type structural shift, showing that sellers are no longer maintaining the same level of control. The following candles are important because they confirm whether the initial bullish reaction has genuine follow-through. When multiple candles begin producing Higher Highs and Higher Lows, the bullish structure becomes more credible. Bullish Expansion Gold then develops a strong bullish expansion. The larger bullish candles demonstrate buy-side displacement, with price moving quickly through previous reaction levels. Between these strong bullish candles, smaller bearish candles appear. These should be viewed as pullbacks or temporary profit-taking unless they break important structural lows. The repeated bullish continuation demonstrates how a trend can develop through: Impulse → Pullback → Higher Low → Impulse → Higher High Fair Value Gaps The strong displacement candles create areas of inefficient price movement represented by FVGs on the chart. An FVG can become a potential reaction or retracement area because price may revisit an imbalance after a strong expansion. However, an FVG should not automatically be treated as guaranteed support or resistance. The reaction of the candles inside the zone is what provides confirmation. A bullish FVG that produces strong lower-wick rejection and bullish continuation becomes more significant when it also aligns with market structure. Major Resistance Reaction As Gold approaches the upper resistance areas, bullish momentum begins to slow. The candles near resistance become smaller and some develop long upper wicks. These upper wicks show that price moved higher during the session but sellers pushed it back before the daily close. This is an important candle-by-candle indication of selling pressure and resistance reaction. If several candles repeatedly fail to close above the same level, the resistance becomes technically more significant. Bearish Correction Following the resistance reaction, Gold begins another corrective decline. The bearish candles push price away from the upper resistance region. However, not every bearish candle represents a new bearish trend. The key question is whether price breaks the previous bullish swing lows. During this phase, the candles should therefore be analyzed in relation to the previous higher-low structure. If higher lows remain protected, the move can still be interpreted as a correction within a broader bullish structure. 4,502–4,667 Resistance Area The 4,502–4,667 region is an important decision zone on this chart. Price approaching this area should be monitored candle by candle. A strong bullish daily candle closing above the zone would indicate increasing buying pressure and provide stronger breakout confirmation. Conversely, repeated upper wicks, bearish engulfing behavior, or strong rejection could indicate that sellers are defending the area. The important educational principle is: Level + Candle Reaction + Confirmation = Stronger Technical Evidence 4,393 Current Price Area The current price area around 4,393 sits between important support and resistance. The candles around this region show a period of short-term balance after the previous expansion. Small-bodied candles indicate temporary indecision, while larger candles indicate renewed directional pressure. For the bullish scenario, buyers need to maintain the higher-low structure and continue producing closes above previous reaction highs. 4,287 Key Support The 4,287 area is an important support level. If Gold retraces toward this region, the daily candle reaction becomes especially important. Long lower wicks would suggest rejection of lower prices, while a strong bullish engulfing candle could provide additional confirmation. A decisive daily close below support would weaken the immediate bullish structure and shift attention toward the deeper demand zones. 4,137 Strong Demand The 4,137 region represents a deeper demand/reaction area. Previous price behavior around this region shows why it is important for educational analysis. If price returns here, traders can observe whether buyers again produce strong rejection candles and a structural shift. The zone should be treated as an area of interest rather than an automatic buy signal. Major Demand — 3,935 Area The lower demand region around 3,935 represents a major structural area. A large decline into this zone could create a significant reaction if buyers defend it. The candles should be studied for: - Long lower wicks - Bullish engulfing patterns - Reduced bearish momentum - Failed breakdowns - MSS/CHoCH - Strong bullish displacement The combination of these signals would provide stronger evidence than any individual candle. Bullish Continuation Scenario The projected bullish path on the chart represents a potential continuation scenario, not a guaranteed outcome. If Gold maintains its higher-low structure and produces a confirmed breakout above 4,502, the next resistance areas become relevant. A sustained move above 4,667 could increase the probability of continuation toward the higher resistance around 4,826. The quality of the breakout depends on the daily candle close and follow-through. A simple wick above resistance is not enough to confirm a genuine breakout. 4,826 Major Resistance The 4,826 region represents a major upside resistance area. If price reaches this level, previous highs and liquidity become important. A strong bullish candle closing near the high would demonstrate continued momentum, while a long upper wick could indicate profit-taking or seller absorption. Multiple rejection candles around this level would strengthen the importance of the resistance. 5,200 Major Supply The upper 5,200 area represents a major supply region on the chart. This zone should be viewed as a higher-timeframe decision area. If price reaches it, candle behavior becomes critical. Strong bullish displacement through the zone would suggest continued demand, while repeated rejection could initiate a deeper correction. Complete Candle-by-Candle Market Story The complete structure of the chart can be summarized as: Bearish Displacement → Lower Lows → Liquidity Formation → Liquidity Sweep → MSS/CHoCH → Bullish Displacement → Higher Highs → FVG Formation → Resistance Reaction → Bearish Correction → Support Reaction → Bullish Recovery → Current Decision Zone This sequence demonstrates why professional technical analysis does not depend on one candle alone. Every candle should be evaluated in the context of: Previous Candle → Current Candle → Swing Structure → Liquidity → FVG → Support/Resistance → Market Reaction A large bullish candle becomes more meaningful when it breaks structure. A bearish candle becomes more meaningful when it breaks a protected higher low. A long wick becomes more meaningful when it appears at a major liquidity or supply/demand area. Educational Conclusion The primary educational focus of this Gold 1D chart is understanding how price moves between liquidity and important structural levels. The key areas to monitor are: 4,287 — Key Support 4,393 — Current Price Area 4,502 — Breakout Confirmation 4,667 — Key Resistance 4,826 — Major Resistance 5,200 — Major Supply 4,137 — Strong Demand 3,935 — Major Demand The bullish continuation scenario remains dependent on confirmation and structure. If support holds and buyers continue producing higher highs and higher lows, upside continuation becomes technically possible. If important support fails with strong bearish displacement, the market may shift toward the lower demand areas. Educational Disclaimer: This chart is provided strictly for educational and informational purposes and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and no setup, direction, breakout, target, or price level is guaranteed. Always conduct your own analysis, wait for appropriate confirmation, and use proper risk management before making any trading decision. Education by Forex_Profit_SMC-FVG 17 17 3 2 XAUUSD – "THE 4,583 SHOWDOWN" Leo | 10/09/2026 (Thursday) 🌍 REALTIME MACRO Folks, today there are 2 important USD events Leo is watching – that's why gold's "silent and waiting": 08:30 ET – PPI for August (Orange – High Impact) ⭐: Producer Price Index – if PPI comes in hotter than forecast → USD firm → gold drops deeper. If PPI cools → USD weak → gold has reason to bounce hard. 08:30 ET – Initial Jobless Claims (Yellow – Medium Impact): First-time unemployment claims – if > 230K = weak labor market = USD weak = gold has room to rally. Snapshot: Spot XAUUSD: 4,407.18 (session range 4,395 – 4,435), slightly down from yesterday. DXY: 98.75 – 98.81 – USD sideway around multi-month lows, no clear directional signal. 10Y Treasury: ~4.77% – flat, awaiting PPI. Institutional demand: PBoC +20 tonnes in July (21-month streak), global ETFs absorbing → structural demand holding the floor. Geopolitics: Hormuz/Iran + Venezuela tensions → safe-haven premium alive. ➡️ **Leo's verdict:** USD sideway, gold buy-side still has a **slight edge** thanks to central bank demand + geopolitical tensions. **But today's 2 events will be the "filter"** that determines direction – non-pros should **stand aside and wait** for safety; Leo only scalps around the 2 marked zones. 📈 READING THE H4 CHART (YOUR IMAGE) **Current price:** **4,407.18** (countdown 03:45). **Accumulation zone (black box on left):** **4,395 – 4,435** – where Leo sees today's "battleground." **Levels Leo reads on the chart:** **4,480** – intermediate resistance (matches your 4,483). **4,580 / 4,583** – hard resistance top (main breakout target). **4,350** – strong support. **4,330** – chart floor (matches your 4,328). **4,394** – matches your chart 4,395. **Candle structure:** Just **broke below the 4,395 range floor** → looking for a new accumulation zone. Red candles dominate the last 3 sessions → bulls are "testing" sellers. **Black zig-zag arrow:** Leo reads the path clearly: **4,395 → 4,405 (small peak) → 4,350 → 4,375 → 4,330 → 4,480 → 4,430 → 4,580** – exactly your scenario! **Teal arrow:** From **4,350 straight up to 4,580** – confirms sweep + final displacement. **Large green arrow:** From **4,330 up to 4,580** – "deep discount" scenario if USD gets very hawkish. 🌊 WHY PRICE WILL FOLLOW 4,394 / 4,350 / 4,328 → 4,483 → 4,583 **🔴 Step 1 – Sweep down to one of 3 floors (4,394 / 4,350 / 4,328):** *Technical:* Price just broke the 4,395 range floor → shorts have a reason to push price deeper to sweep liquidity. SMC structure shows 3 potential floor zones: **4,394** (matches chart 4,395) – shallow sweep, if PPI isn't too hawkish. **4,350** – deeper sweep, if USD bounces +30 pips. **4,328** (matches chart 4,330) – "deep discount" sweep if PPI surprisingly hot. *Macro:* **Hot PPI** → USD bounces → gold drops hard into one of these 3 zones. This is the **liquidity sweep** institutions need to load up cheap. **🟢 Step 2 – Strong bounce to 4,483:** *Technical:* After sweeping one of the 3 floors, institutional buying triggers (Fib 1.272 + M15 BOS + volume spike). The 4,480 – 4,483 zone is a critical intermediate resistance. *Macro:* **PPI cools** or **Jobless Claims surge** → USD weak → gold gets a structural tailwind. PBoC + ETF demand continues to absorb → safe-haven premium compounds. **🟢 Step 3 – Breakout to 4,583 (main target):** *Technical:* This is the **final structural displacement**. M15 close above 4,480 + volume spike → test hard resistance 4,580 – 4,583. This is exactly the top of the large green arrow on the chart. *Macro:* After the 2 USD events, if USD **clearly weakens** (DXY < 98.50) → safe-haven flows pour into gold → structural breakout. Hormuz/Venezuela tensions keep the premium alive. --- 🛠️ SCALPING SUGGESTIONS (M15) – ONLY FOR EXPERIENCED TRADERS 🟢 **Main Buy Scenario:** - Entry by zone: **4,394 – 4,400** (old range floor) – highest R:R **4,350 – 4,355** (deep sweep) – good R:R **4,328 – 4,332** (deep discount) – excellent R:R if swept properly - Stop-loss: **4,315** (below chart floor 4,330) - TP1: **4,483** ✓ - TP2: **4,583** ✓ (extend to end of day or early next week) - R:R: ~1:3.0 → 1:8.0 🔥🔥 🔴 **Scalp short if 4,483 fails:** - Entry: **4,478 – 4,485** (on clear distribution: bearish engulfing M15, BOS down) - Stop-loss: **4,495** - TP: **4,430** → **4,395** - R:R: ~1:0.7 (only on confirmed reversal) 🚫 **Invalidation:** M15 close below **4,315** → cancel buy plan, step aside for deeper breakdown. Or if M15 closes **above 4,600** → breakout at the top → Leo flips long immediately. ⚖️ LEO'S ADVICE – BATTLE-TESTED EXPERIENCE 1️⃣ Today's 2 USD events – Leo's recommendations: - **Non-pros:** **stand aside and wait** for the PPI result first, watch price reaction then decide. - **Pros:** hunt the sweeps into the 3 floor zones Leo marked, but **cut size by 50%**, no all-in. 2️⃣ Risk management is everything: - Scale out: TP1 (4,483) → move SL to breakeven immediately. - TP2 (4,583) → close 50%, trailing stop the rest. - **Never hold overnight** unless already in profit. 3️⃣ SL must be clear, never vague : - Leo set SL at **4,315** for all 3 buy zones – if price breaks this floor, the uptrend structure is broken, **Leo steps aside for a week** to reassess. 4️⃣ Avoid the noise zone 4,400 – 4,440: - Too many short-term pull-backs, you'll get stopped out repeatedly. Only trade at the range edges or the deep floors. 5️⃣ Risk management > prediction. Survive first, profit second. 📌 *Disclaimer: This analysis is for reference only and is not investment advice. Always confirm signals on M1/M5 before entering any trade. Scalping on high-impact news days carries significant risk – think twice.* Leo 🥇 Long by Leo_WarRoom 35 35 4 5 SNR MODEL (QML & COL) | Advanced Support & Resistance Framework The SNR Model (Support & Resistance) with QML (Quasimodo Level) and COL (Change of Level) is an advanced price-action framework used to identify high-probability reversal and continuation zones. Traditional traders see support and resistance as simple lines, but professional traders understand them as institutional decision areas where liquidity, order flow, and market structure interact. The combination of SNR + QML + COL helps traders identify where smart money may enter, exit, or reverse the market. 1. Support & Resistance (SNR) Foundation Support Zone (Demand Area) Support is a zone where buyers become stronger than sellers. Institutional traders look for: Previous strong reactions Liquidity below lows Demand imbalance Order accumulation areas A strong support zone usually creates a powerful bullish move after rejection. Professional Confirmation: Support + Liquidity Sweep + Market Structure Shift = High Probability Buy Resistance Zone (Supply Area) Resistance is a zone where sellers become stronger than buyers. Institutions may use these areas to distribute positions. Look for: Previous rejection Liquidity above highs Supply imbalance Strong bearish reaction Professional Confirmation: Resistance + Liquidity Sweep + Bearish Structure Shift = High Probability Sell 2. QML (Quasimodo Level) Model What Is QML? QML is an advanced reversal pattern that identifies a potential institutional trap before a major market reversal. It is based on a change in market structure where the market creates a unique high or low before reversing. Bullish QML Setup Formation: 1. Market creates a lower low 2. Price makes a higher high 3. Price returns and creates a new lower low 4. The previous high becomes the QML neckline 5. Price returns to QML zone 6. Bullish reversal begins Entry Confirmation: ✓ QML level ✓ Liquidity sweep ✓ Bullish CHOCH ✓ BOS confirmation ✓ Order Block / FVG reaction Bearish QML Setup Formation: 1. Market creates a higher high 2. Price creates a lower low 3. Market makes another higher high 4. Previous low becomes QML neckline 5. Price returns to QML zone 6. Bearish reversal begins Entry Confirmation: ✓ QML resistance ✓ Buy-side liquidity sweep ✓ Bearish CHOCH ✓ BOS confirmation ✓ Supply zone reaction 3. COL (Change of Level) Concept COL represents the moment when an important support or resistance level changes its role. Support Becomes Resistance Example: Strong support breaks Price moves below the zone Retest happens Previous support becomes new resistance This indicates seller control. Resistance Becomes Support Example: Resistance breaks Price returns to the level Buyers defend the area This indicates buyer strength. 4. SNR + QML + COL Trading Model The strongest setups happen when multiple confirmations align: Higher Timeframe SNR Zone ↓ Liquidity Sweep ↓ QML Formation ↓ COL Confirmation ↓ CHOCH/BOS ↓ OB/FVG Entry This creates a professional institutional trading setup. 5. Multi-Timeframe Analysis Higher Timeframe (Direction) Use: Weekly Daily 4H Find: Major SNR zones QML areas Liquidity targets Entry Timeframe Use: 1H 15M 5M Confirm: COL reaction CHOCH BOS Order Block FVG 6. Risk Management Rules Even the best SNR/QML setup needs discipline. Professional rules: Risk only 1–2% per trade Place Stop Loss beyond invalidation zone Target opposite liquidity Maintain minimum 1:2 risk-reward Avoid entering without confirmation Final Institutional Concept SNR shows where the battle happens, QML reveals the institutional trap, and COL confirms the change in market control." The highest probability trades come when: SNR + QML + COL + Liquidity + Market Structure align together. A professional trader does not trade levels blindly; they wait for the market to show who is in control. For the next chart, should I make QML + COL bullish setup or bearish setup? Education by Mr_Basit_Forex 12 12 3 1 Gold Rejection From Resistance – Sell Setup Entry: Around 4,415–4,425 Target 1: 4,365 Target 2: 4,280 Resistance: 4,440–4,460 Analysis: Gold is approaching the descending trendline resistance. A rejection from this area could push price toward 4,365, followed by the stronger support zone around 4,280. Bias: SELL 📉 Wait for bearish confirmation before entering. Short by SMART_MONEY_CIRCLE Updated 13 13 1 3 EUR/USD Triangle Breakout (Bullish Setup) (10.09.2026) EUR/USD – M30 – Triangle Breakout Pattern / Bullish Setup EUR/USD is showing a bullish triangle breakout structure on the M30 chart, with price pushing above the descending trendline and holding above the breakout area. The setup remains constructive while price stays above the highlighted support zone, with 1.16724 and 1.16900 as the next upside resistance levels. 🟢 1st Resistance : 1.1672 🟢 2nd Resistance : 1.1690 🔴 Support Zone : 1.1620 – 1.1624 Fundamentals and Live Headlines : 1. ECB: Markets broadly expect the ECB to raise its policy rate by 25 bps to 2.50% today, keeping a hawkish tone as renewed energy inflation raises price pressures. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Support the idea 🚀 Boost | 💬 Comment | 🔁 Share Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Long by KABHI_TA_TRADING Updated 16 16 2 7 XAUUSD — H1 FVG Retest, Sell Continuation Market Context Gold is trading around $4,387 after rebounding from the recent sell-side liquidity sweep near the lower part of the H1 descending channel. The recovery produced a short-term bullish MSS, but price remains below the broader bearish delivery path and key overhead supply. Macro conditions remain mixed for Gold. Strong August payrolls lifted expectations for a September Fed rate hike to around 60%, while oil prices near $100 are adding fresh inflation concerns ahead of PPI and CPI. At the same time, escalating U.S.–Iran tensions and disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz continue to provide safe-haven support, creating an environment where geopolitical demand may limit downside but higher-rate expectations restrict upside. SMC View The broader H1 order flow remains bearish inside the descending channel. The recent SSL sweep and bullish MSS explain the corrective rebound, but they have not yet invalidated the higher-timeframe bearish structure. The $4,405–$4,418 H1 Bearish FVG is the main decision zone. A retracement into this imbalance would allow price to mitigate inefficient delivery before sellers potentially resume control. The Premium Bearish OB near $4,438 remains the higher structural barrier. Main Trading Scenario Condition: Gold retraces into the $4,405–$4,418 H1 Bearish FVG and forms a clear bearish rejection. A lower-timeframe bearish MSS or CHOCH is required before entry. Entry: $4,405–$4,418 after bearish confirmation SL: Above $4,438 and the rejection structure TP1: $4,338–$4,350 TP2: $4,303–$4,317 TP3: $4,291.943 Key Zones to Watch Current price: $4,386.500 Main sell zone: $4,405–$4,418 Premium Bearish OB: $4,438.013 Internal SSL: $4,338–$4,350 Main target: $4,303–$4,317 Invalidation: Acceptance above $4,438 Confirmation: Bearish rejection with MSS or CHOCH Prime Gold View The sell bias remains valid while Gold stays below the H1 Bearish FVG and Premium OB. The preferred plan is to wait for corrective repricing into $4,405–$4,418 rather than chase price near current demand. If sellers defend the FVG, Gold could rotate back through Internal SSL and continue toward the Deep Discount Demand near $4,310. Acceptance above $4,438 would weaken the immediate bearish setup. No confirmation, no trade. Short by Gold_Prime_Smc Updated 34 34 2 0 EURUSD Short: Rejection from 1.1650 Toward 1.1600 Demand Zone Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current EURUSD (2H) chart structure. EURUSD previously traded inside an ascending channel before breaking higher and shifting bullish. Price then formed a descending channel and moved toward the 1.1650 Supply Zone, where sellers rejected the upside. Currently, EURUSD is trading below the 1.1650 Supply Zone while holding above the 1.1600 Demand Zone. The descending channel and recent rejection suggest a possible continuation lower toward demand. As long as EURUSD remains below the 1.1650 Supply Zone and respects the descending channel, the bearish scenario remains valid. A continuation lower could push price toward the 1.1600 Demand Zone (TP1). However, a breakout and close above 1.1650 would weaken the bearish outlook and increase the possibility of further upside. Manage your risk! Short by heniitrading Updated 12 12 1 5 BTCUSDT: Triangle Break and Support Zone Point to Further Upside Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup. Market Analysis BTCUSDT previously traded inside a wedge structure before breaking higher and shifting bullish. Price then formed a triangle consolidation with multiple breakouts before testing the Resistance Zone. Currently, BTCUSDT is trading below the 81,500 Resistance Zone while holding above the 77,600 Support Zone and Triangle Support Line. The recent rebound from support suggests buyers may attempt another move toward resistance. My Scenario & Strategy As long as BTCUSDT remains above the 77,600 Support Zone and respects the Triangle Support Line, the bullish scenario remains valid. A successful breakout above 81,500 could push price higher, with 81,500 acting as the key resistance level (TP1). However, a breakdown and close below 77,600 would weaken the bullish outlook and increase the risk of further downside. That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk. Long by Ratner Updated 14 14 3 0 BTCUSD – Bearish Rejection Toward 77,911 BTCUSD is showing a bearish structure on the 1H chart. Price has been rejected from the descending trendline and is trading below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating continued selling pressure. The recent rebound failed near the resistance zone, followed by another bearish rejection. As long as price remains below the descending trendline and resistance around **79,200–79,600**, sellers may continue pushing the market lower. 🎯 **Target 1: 77,911** 📌 **Resistance: 79,200–79,600** 📉 **Bias: Bearish / Sell** A sustained break below the recent support could open the way for further downside. Short by Alpha_Trade_Scope Updated 12 12 1 4 BTCUSD | Bearish Continuation & Downside Potential Setup BTCUSD | Bearish Continuation & Downside Potential Setup Fundamental outlook BTCUSD is showing signs of short-term exhaustion as renewed expectations of tighter Federal Reserve policy have supported the U.S. dollar and increased pressure on rate-sensitive assets. The latest strong U.S. jobs data pushed Treasury yields higher and revived expectations of a potential September rate hike, although upcoming inflation data remains important for the final policy outlook. Bitcoin has recently struggled to establish sustained acceptance above the 80,000 area as markets reassess Fed policy expectations. This makes the upcoming inflation data and the September Fed meeting important potential catalysts for volatility. Technical outlook BTCUSD is approaching an important decision area around 80,000. The current structure suggests that bullish momentum is losing strength near resistance, while sellers may become more active if price fails to establish acceptance above this level. As long as price remains below the key resistance structure, the downside scenario remains relevant. A sustained break below 77,500 could expose the next downside target around 75,000. SMC view From an SMC perspective, the recent rally may have created buy-side liquidity above the current range, while sell-side liquidity remains positioned below nearby support. The 85,700 area represents a larger internal liquidity zone, while the reaction around 80,000 will help determine whether BTCUSD can continue higher or form a deeper correction. A failure to hold 77,500 could trigger a move toward lower liquidity around 75,000. Key levels to watch Resistance: • 80,000 Internal liquidity zone: • 85,700 Support: • 77,500 Bearish target: • 75,000 Bearish invalidation: • 81,000 This move is supported by • Renewed expectations of tighter Federal Reserve policy • Increased sensitivity to upcoming U.S. inflation data • Higher Treasury yields following stronger U.S. employment data • Recent U.S. dollar strength • Short-term exhaustion near the 80,000 resistance area • Potential sell-side liquidity resting below 77,500 Trading scenario Bearish scenario: As long as BTCUSD remains below 80,000 and fails to establish sustained bullish acceptance, the bearish scenario remains in focus. A confirmed break below 77,500 could increase downside momentum toward 75,000, where the next major liquidity and support area may attract attention. Bullish alternative: A strong reclaim of 80,000 followed by sustained acceptance above 81,000 would invalidate the immediate bearish setup and suggest that buyers are regaining control. Professional insights The 80,000 level is the main decision zone. Rather than anticipating the breakdown, it may be more disciplined to watch whether BTCUSD forms a lower high below resistance or confirms bearish momentum through a sustained break below 77,500. Bitcoin remains highly sensitive to changing Fed expectations, with recent price action showing sharp reactions to economic data and shifts in rate-hike probabilities. Risk management Avoid chasing large impulsive moves near major support or resistance. Wait for confirmation, use appropriate position sizing, and define your invalidation level before entering any trade. Cryptocurrency markets can experience rapid volatility, particularly around U.S. inflation data, Federal Reserve communication, and major macroeconomic events. Disclaimer This analysis is shared for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and all trading decisions should be based on your own analysis and risk-management plan. Short by YOUSUF-ANALYTICS Updated 20 20 2 2 EURUSD: Buyers Defend 1.1600 Zone Ahead of 1.1640 Resistance Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup. Market Analysis EURUSD previously traded inside a triangle structure before breaking above the Resistance Zone and shifting bullish. Price then moved higher before forming a corrective pullback with several fake breakouts below the Trend Line. Currently, EURUSD is trading below the 1.1640 Resistance Zone while holding above the 1.1600 Support Zone and rising Trend Line. The recent rebound from support suggests buyers may attempt another move toward resistance. My Scenario & Strategy As long as EURUSD remains above the 1.1600 Support Zone and respects the rising Trend Line, the bullish scenario remains valid. A successful breakout above 1.1640 could push price higher, with 1.1640 acting as the key resistance level (TP1). However, a breakdown and close below 1.1600 would weaken the bullish outlook and increase the risk of further downside. That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk. Long by Ratner Updated 20 20 4 1 GOLD BREAKS THE TRENDLINE — PULLBACK OR STRAIGHT TO 4520? Gold has broken above the short-term descending trendline, confirming a shift in short-term momentum. Price is now holding above the breakout area around 4400–4420, while the broader rising structure remains intact. The focus now shifts from anticipating the breakout to managing the continuation. The main scenario is to wait for a pullback and retest around 4400–4420. If this area holds as support and bullish confirmation appears, Gold could continue higher toward 4500–4520. A clean break above 4500–4520 would open the way for further upside extension. On the downside, a sustained move back below the breakout area would weaken the bullish momentum and require reassessment. 📍 KEY LEVELS: 🔹 4400–4420 Breakout area and immediate support. Preferred zone to monitor for a BUY reaction. 🔹 4360–4380 Rising trendline support and deeper pullback area. 🔹 4500–4520 Major resistance and first key upside target. 🔹 4560–4600 Potential extended target if bullish momentum accelerates. ✅ PREFERRED SCENARIO: Gold holds above the broken descending trendline. Pullback toward 4400–4420. Breakout area holds + bullish confirmation → BUY. Recovery above 4500–4520 → bullish continuation. Breakout above 4520 → target 4560–4600. Sustained break below the rising structure → reassess the bullish bias. BIAS: 🟢 BULLISH — Gold has broken the short-term descending trendline and regained bullish momentum. Prefer buying confirmed pullbacks into support rather than chasing the breakout near resistance. Long by Chum_trades 9 9 7 Show more publications … 999 999